What does Australia's first climate and security risk assessment say?
Carried out by the Office of National Intelligence (ONI), in late 2022, the assessment should inform policymakers and the public on the greatest threat to Australians’ future, but the government has refused to release a declassified version.
Summary
The Australian Government received its first climate and security risk assessment, carried out by the Office of National Intelligence (ONI), in late 2022.
The assessment should inform policymakers and the public on the greatest threat to Australians’ future, but the government has refused to release a declassified version.
The ONI report is likely to have said that the world is dangerously off track to meet the Paris Agreement goals, the risks are compounding and the impacts will be devastating in the coming decades.
In the Asia-Pacific region, states will fail and climate impacts will drive political instability, greater national insecurity and forced migration, and fuel conflict.
There will likely be a further retreat to authoritarian and hyper-nationalist politics, the diminution of instruments of regional cooperation, and increased risks of regional conflict, including over shared water resources from the Himalayas and Tibetan Plateau, encompassing India, Pakistan, China and south-east Asian nations.
See the details here: https://www.breakthroughonline.org.au/briefings
4 August 2023